I sense that for a change, rather than the usual downgrades we experience as a potential session draws nearer, this time we appear to be on an upgrade path.
The current Met Mslp charts for Monday are a sight for sore eyes, something the like we have not seen for an age, with an intense deep low pressure just to the se of iceland sinking se towards ne Scotland, tight isos country wide , deleivering the elusive westerly flow for WK.
West 6 o 8 still very much on the cards for Monday, altough Wk is borderine for the West 7 to 9 just north of WK.
In real knots terms 30-40kts with gusts to 45 likely. West does look like being the flow angle, perhaps a notch broader. Although I have always said, it isnt a westerly until you are stood on the wall feeling it slap bang in your face.
Still very much in the swathe of galefroce westerlies, howevver as mentioned yesterday we have an occlusion sinking south towards Wk. The Met have this on the radar, hence the wind backing a notch towards WSW. GFS model not picking this up in their current 00z wind stats ie. XC still dialing in a Westerly of some strength 6-8/9.
So in summary - green light for Monday, amber for Tuesday dependant upon the tming and orientation of the south sinking occlusion.