by Howard Rowson
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14-9-2013 16:16:20 | |
Forecast to follow soon!
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by Tristan Haskins
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14-9-2013 20:28:47 | |
I've got my fingers crossed for anyone who can sail Monday at WK. I can't... got a new job 7 days ago.. so it's a bit early for a SPEEDY day off !!
I am worried it's going to get to much North in it (I've only been looking at the weathercharts.org) ... but I will leave that to Mr Howie "THE WEATHER" Rowson
GOOD LUCK.. I really do have my fingers crossed it's a classic day :-)
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 00:55:42 | |
Got side tracked for an hour or two...
Forecast pretty much set in stone now at least for Sunday arvo / evening and monday, tuesday on hold at present.
The flow is expected to veer from 6-8 sw to 6-8 west mid afternoon, perhaps a little broader than pure west.
F6-F8 the forecast for monday west to wnw the direction. There is a chance the flow may hit F9 at times.
Updates to follow.
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by Adam Gustafsson
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15-9-2013 05:46:56 | |
The latest NAE model forecast looks decent for this afternoon and all day tomorrow at West Kirby. Nice angle and good wind strength. Presumably the water in there is still relatively warm too? Have Fun!
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 08:41:22 | |
For sure Adam, Nae looking solid F7 gusts to F8-F9, backed up by an increase in the flow from the Met. As usual Hilbe w/stn down now its windy. The veer this arvo may go wnw before backing closer to west early evening, then broadening to wbn to wnw for the overnight period into monday, early monday sollid f8 hitting wk, moderating a notch back to solid f7, indicative of 30-35kts with gusts into 40+ potentially 45-50., Tuesday sees further moderation of the flow to f6-f7 again west to wnw. Just had a trip a mile down the lane to recover the childrens paddling pool ... lol
Punch the core speedies! and as Ads says Have Fun!
Updates to folllow
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by Paul Burgess
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15-9-2013 08:49:05 | |
weather station at west kirby lake
http://skylink-pro.com/env/wirralsailing/index.php?country=uk&stationid=G059&scale=50&maptype=wind&mapstyle=cutout&zoom=in
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 10:23:45 | |
Current wind stats from the nae 06z update has the flow veering west (wbn) around 1430, I;m about 100 miles upwind (in a westerly) of WK so expecting the veer around 1400hrs.at home.
The forecast appears to be settling on west - wnw 6 to 8 with gusts to F9 at times, for this arvo, tonight and tomorrow moderating f5 - f7 for Tuesday. west to wnw
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 10:40:13 | |
Quite a decent Sw pumping in at the moment 30-35kts ahead of the warm front approaching from the west followed by quite a narrow warm sector then the cold front (s?) and the veer to west
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 14:31:07 | |
Hello Sun Hello westerly bang on 1500hrs 6-8 here, after a lull and wsw whilst the flow sorted itself out post cold front. Skylink showing 279 and 30kts or thereabouts. Hilbre firing up on cue 30-40kts closer to wnw.
Isos not as tight right after the 2nd cold front
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 14:32:18 | |
May take a while for the flow to kick in proper
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 14:33:12 | |
wtf to that copy and paste .....???
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by Howard Rowson
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15-9-2013 14:38:17 | |
and tback to w-wnw the initial veer to nw right after the 2nd cold front ..
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by Howard Rowson
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16-9-2013 07:29:09 | |
Hopefully somewhere between west and wnw today, Circa 6 to gale 8. After yesterdays veer, post cold front sending the flow superbroad rather than west to wnw, just for liverpool bay, due to the 1000mb isobar orienatating NW-SE just to the south of Wk... it happens!
Tuesday - heads down , the secondary incoming later tonight disrupting the west to wnw flow with the irish sea going cyclonic.
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by Howard Rowson
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16-9-2013 12:26:02 | |
Peak flow should be mid afternoon 30-35kts with gusts to 40kts + hopefully on the west side of wnw. The angle has been flirtling between 285-295 probably associated with the passing squalls. The flow is forecast to go wnw late arvo, which might end up being superbroad / too broad
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by Mark Hayford
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16-9-2013 22:21:29 | |
There are a few videos of today in the link. I thought I'd got videos of every one, but sorry to say that there are a few of you missing
.http://contour.com/users/mark62
Search by most recent
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by Howard Rowson
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17-9-2013 06:23:11 | |
Nice one Mark! ... almost feels like I was there! well done to all who sailed , and congrats all to those who peebee'd
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by Howard Rowson
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17-9-2013 06:37:54 | |
The westerly just about pettering out later this morning as the secondary low pushes in and kills off the flow. The wnw returns tomorrow arvo F5-F7 backing sw for Thursday am and veering west Thursday pm F5-F7, eased off by Friday and into the weekend.
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by Howard Rowson
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17-9-2013 06:50:13 | |
Hell of 10s run Ian! Hell of 500 Neil! Awesome! ..... indicative of a better flow over the wall since the refurb ..?
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by Howard Rowson
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17-9-2013 07:01:25 | |
Yesterdays 12z MetO chart - not quite the epic forecast chart.
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by Ian Richards
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17-9-2013 07:26:41 | |
by Howard Rowson
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18-9-2013 06:40:09 | |
The current flow over WK is NW circa 15-20kts, this morning the flow should be backing to wnw and then west and possibly sailable late morning and this afternoon but may be still too broad. Potential increases tomorrow afternoon (mid to late) with a possible west f5-f7, worth keeping an eye on.
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by Howard Rowson
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18-9-2013 17:19:30 | |
Ok an upgrade for tomorrow afternoon is currently forecast with a sw veering west flow around midday to early afternoon. F5-F7 poss F6- F8 for a period once the flow has veered west, this one will need tracking on an hour by hour basis in order to establish when the veer to west will happen and how strong the resultant flow will be, and how long it will be maintained from a sailable angle ie west to wnw
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by Howard Rowson
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19-9-2013 06:39:52 | |
Ok, this mornings's early update for WK today. Now according to the NAE model by 12 noon a flow just shy of WNW should be pumping in see nae model below. If you draw a line from West Kirby to Dubdalk Bay (where the 1004mb isobar hits the east coast of Ireland that is bang on WNW 292 degress approx 143 degree sailing angle down the wall. - just to be clear about that)
So at some point late morning the flow will veer to west to wnw to be just shy of wnw by 1300hrs solid F7 pumping in, the flow easing a notch for the rmainder of the afternoon solid F6 from a sailable angle
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by Howard Rowson
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19-9-2013 06:48:48 | |
By 2100hrs the flow is bang on WNW and solid with a mean average windspeed of F6 that usually translates to 35-35kts lakeside - but don't quote me on that
The MetO wind data is in keeping with the above nae forecast circa F5-F7, ships forecast too for liverpool bay Sw 4-5 increasing 6 or 7 then veering west F5-F7. The Beeb coastal forcast for HH to MB is west F6-F7
The 9.3m high tide at 11:30 should clear the wall as the flow veers west, so the lake would be brim full and and a flat (ish) course.
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by Howard Rowson
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19-9-2013 06:51:16 | |
That should read 25-35kts above not 35-35kts lol
By 2100hrs the flow is bang on WNW and solid with a mean average windspeed of F6 that usually translates to 35-35kts lakeside - but don't quote me on that
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by Howard Rowson
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19-9-2013 12:10:10 | |
The flow has now veered to 288 F6 just shy of wnw @ 292, peak flow expected mid afternoon F6-F7
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