gps-speedsurfing

well....it is looking interesting

 

Hi Daz,

Yes mate very interesting/ The biggest question at present will be the angle of the flow as the wind veers behind the cold front of ex hurricane gonzalo. Initially west early Tuesday F7 - F9 but it will broaden soon thereafter. WNW appears to be the angle for the moment with a 35kt - 45kt potential. Could be epic. Keeping a close eye on developments, and will update the post accordingly.

ps please re text me as it appears your new number did n't get transferred to my existing contact for you.

cheers

H

Thanks Dazza!

Ok , a tough one to call this one. The consensus of forecast data would indicate that the wind will veer early Tuesday morring behind the cold from from a SW'ly to a West to WNW'ly crica F7-F8 gusts in access of F9.

Now the difficult bit (not helped by no Mesoscale graphic on the wind angle). A true WNW is approx 293 degrees which translates as about 140 degrees sailing angle down the wall. Broad but not too broad, and accompanied by the killer chop build. We have sailed the wall in superbroad conditions 145 degrees+ with Farrel getting well dialed with 47+ peaks in 30-40 kts of wind back in 2009 / 2010.

The expection, based on an assessment of current available stats from the Met and GFS forecast based sites (XC/ WindG etc) is 280-290 degrees for morning (dawn raid to be sure of maximising the sailing window) and going 300+ in the afternoon and thus too broad.

The morning session has excellent potential for high speeds both vmax's and 10s runs, 500's may be limited due to big rolling chop around the 250-300m+  mark.

High tide @ 8.3 m around 10'ish would normally not breach the wall, however with a big push in off the irish, some breach may be inevitable ... this one will not flood the carpark though! 

Bear in mind the above information is based on current forecast data, which, at the end of the day is just a forecast and not set in stone, as late changes to the pressure patterns and resultant flow can affect the flow enough to push teh wind round too broad right from the outset.

Updates to follow accordingly.

Good wind and speed to all.

 

Thanks Darren. I'll be making the trip up and I'm crossing everything for some fast conditions! I consider the forecast slightly borderline (re: predicted angle) but I'm going to get there early and see what happens. Will and Ian will also be heading up.

Good work with the updates Howie, good to see them.
Asuming it looks too NW, anyone considering Porthmadog, Mostyn (other side of estuary?! is it an option?!?!) or Wells (east coast)? 
 

I'm of to wells, 16 miles away! Should be good from 10. Tristan Haskins going too.

Ah good stuff. I guess Kingsbridge in Devon will be on at some point too tomorrow. I'll probably end up at work waiting for the FB updates. Hope it's a good one for everyone.

Cheers Steve, go get 'em everyone, pb's that is. :-)
Steve, do you mean by the ship in mostyn and at low tide?

I mean here Mark. http://binged.it/1sI44Dc

But I'm only taking a wild guess at it's suitability? And I won't be going to look this time.

Skylink lake w/stn down at the mo. Hilbe w/stn on 282 deg 40-48kts roughly translating to lakeside as 290 just shy of wnw circa 35-40kts. Forecast indicating wnw all morning and NW'ly for the afternoon F7-F9/10.

Anyone scoped out the channel just south of WK between WK SC and Dee SC opposite Caldy Golf Club. It appears to be sailable (200m out from the shore with a nice slingshot entry and SSW-NNE 900m channel 50m wide)  not seen it in the flesh though. Could be good if it works for when WK goes too broad ideally NNW for a broad starboard run equivalent to a Westerly on the wall. A NW'ly would be squar'ish.

hmmm ..lol the channel caldy side is not there on your link Steve, Mostyn side looks interesting though

Hilbre island w/stn continuing with the sub wnw flow 40-50kts  279deg at the mo lake side is about 6-8 degrees broader typically.

Skyline back on now, it's showing 303 degrees, very broad. It's time for me to buy some waders and check out theses channels on the Dee I think :)

Yeah, as good as Kirby is, we're pretty limited with direction. Imagine if there's been an empty 'sandy point' just sitting there all these years  :o
Roa definitely has potential, there must be others..

Im making plans as we speak to move back to the UK for good, fuck all work over here in Ireland and getting too expensive to live here so will hopefully be back in the UK early next year living somewhere close to West Kirby wink

Definitly will be up for checking out new spots when i've moved back and will definlty be finally checking out Roa Island

ITALIANSURFSHOP